2015 Top 80 WR Rankings

Last updated: August 27, 2015 at 22:10 pm

    Tier 1 – new faces at the top of the WR ranks

  1. NYG Odell Beckham 110-1600-12 30-0
  2. PIT Antonio Brown 122-1600-11 5-0
  3. DEN Demaryius Thomas 105-1550-11 0-0
  4. ATL Julio Jones 111-1700-8 0-0
  5. DAL Dez Bryant 94-1335-15 0-0
  6. Tier 2 – still elite options

  7. GB Jordy Nelson 92-1425-11 0-0
  8. CIN A.J. Green 99-1450-9 0-0
  9. DET Calvin Johnson 87-1395-10 0-0
  10. GB Randall Cobb 93-1245-10 50-0
  11. TB Mike Evans 74-1160-12 0-0
  12. CHI Alshon Jeffery 90-1210-9 45-0
  13. IND T.Y. Hilton 84-1370-7 15-0
  14. HOU DeAndre Hopkins 86-1335-7 0-0
  15. Tier 3 – reliable WR2s

  16. DEN Emmanuel Sanders 85-1190-7 30-0
  17. PHI Jordan Matthews 70-1115-8 0-0
  18. NO Brandin Cooks 95-1050-5 110-0
  19. NE Julian Edelman 106-1110-5 75-0
  20. OAK Amari Cooper 82-1140-6 0-0
  21. IND Andre Johnson 82-1040-7 0-0
  22. DET Golden Tate 82-1100-4 30-0
  23. Tier 4 – some breakout potential but some risk as well

  24. BUF Sammy Watkins 66-1035-7 5-0
  25. WAS DeSean Jackson 63-1195-5 5-0
  26. JAC Allen Robinson 86-1000-4 0-0
  27. MIA Jarvis Landry 95-900-5 5-0
  28. NYJ Brandon Marshall 70-925-8 0-0
  29. ATL Roddy White 78-960-7 0-0
  30. SD Keenan Allen 87-1040-5 0-0
  31. SF Anquan Boldin 80-1005-5 0-0
  32. NE Brandon LaFell 69-930-7 10-0
  33. KC Jeremy Maclin 70-900-7 0-0
  34. CAR Devin Funchess 67-875-7 0-0
  35. TB Vincent Jackson 70-1030-4 0-0
  36. CHI Eddie Royal 68-815-7 20-0
  37. BAL Steve Smith 70-950-5 0-0
  38. NO Marques Colston 64-940-5 0-0
  39. PIT Martavis Bryant 48-800-8 15-0
  40. WAS Pierre Garcon 77-900-4 0-0
  41. MIN Mike Wallace 58-855-6 20-0
  42. MIA DeVante Parker 60-820-5 0-0
  43. Tier 5 – I don’t want to rely on these guys on a weekly basis

  44. PHI Nelson Agholor 60-800-5 0-0
  45. ARI Michael Floyd 54-965-7 0-0
  46. SF Torrey Smith 51-860-6 0-0
  47. NYG Victor Cruz 65-850-3 0-0
  48. NYJ Eric Decker 64-850-5 0-0
  49. TEN Kendall Wright 67-830-5 20-0
  50. NYG Rueben Randle 65-880-4 0-0
  51. BAL Breshad Perriman 50-825-6 0-0
  52. ARI Larry Fitzgerald 69-875-4 0-0
  53. SD Malcom Floyd 49-850-5 0-0
  54. ARI John Brown 52-760-6 0-0
  55. SEA Doug Baldwin 60-800-4 5-0
  56. DAL Terrance Williams 43-710-7 0-0
  57. MIN Charles Johnson 50-765-4 0-0
  58. BUF Robert Woods 58-665-5 0-0
  59. CLE Dwayne Bowe 57-735-3 0-0
  60. OAK Michael Crabtree 61-705-3 0-0
  61. CLE Andrew Hawkins 56-750-2 15-0
  62. STL Brian Quick 47-685-4 0-0
  63. MIA Kenny Stills 50-725-3 5-0
  64. NO Brandon Coleman 43-650-5 0-0
  65. Tier 6 – start filling out your bench with upside

  66. SD Steve Johnson 46-600-4 0-0
  67. CIN Marvin Jones 50-635-4 0-0
  68. HOU Jaelen Strong 50-640-4 0-0
  69. TEN Dorial Green-Beckham 45-630-4 0-0
  70. JAC Allen Hurns 44-600-4 0-0
  71. DEN Cody Latimer 47-635-3 0-0
  72. IND Phillip Dorsett 39-610-4 0-0
  73. Tier 7 – nothing that appealing here

  74. HOU Nate Washington 45-730-3 0-0
  75. STL Kenny Britt 45-695-3 0-0
  76. JAC Marqise Lee 54-645-2 15-0
  77. TEN Justin Hunter 36-620-4 0-0
  78. BUF Percy Harvin 52-550-2 125-0
  79. GB Davante Adams 46-540-4 0-0
  80. STL Tavon Austin 35-300-1 185-2
  81. DAL Cole Beasley 46-550-4 0-0
  82. MIA Greg Jennings 42-550-4 0-0
  83. KC Chris Conley 47-555-3 0-0
  84. CLE Taylor Gabriel 38-640-2 0-0
  85. SEA Jermaine Kearse 38-565-3 0-0
  86. CAR Jerricho Cotchery 46-570-2 0-0

2014 Top 80 WR Rankings

Last updated: August 14, 2014 at 13:25 pm

Running back, wide receiver, and tight end rankings are more difficult to come up with than QB rankings, because they can vary drastically just on the simple question of “is your league PPR or non-PPR?”. I do my best to generalize these rankings mostly taking into consideration standard rules but then using PPR in the back of my mind as a tiebreaker. The only way to truly know the value of a player in your league is to use our Custom Fantasy Football Rankings tool which will tailor the scoring to your league’s settings (note: this is a premium feature only available to subscribed users, for more information about subscribing please check out the subscription page http://www.fantasysportsfacts.com/subscribe). Wide receiver rankings are always changing, so I will continue to update this list and edit my player notes whenever things change.

    Tier 1 – of course it’s just Calvin… again

  1. DET Calvin Johnson 0-0 96-1700-14
  2. Calvin is the clear #1 receiver again this year. Josh Gordon might have given him a run for his money, but he can’t keep himself out of trouble which makes defining this tier easier. No need to really add more detail here, just look at the last 3 years of Calvin’s career and the decision is easy. Even in standard leagues this guy should be going in the top 5 overall.

    Tier 2 – better than tier 2 last year

  3. DEN Demaryius Thomas 0-0 98-1520-15
  4. With Decker leaving, Demaryius could possibly see an even heavier workload. There’s almost no change that Peyton repeats his historic 2013 season which might make you think Thomas can’t possibly repeat, but I don’t see any regression in line for Demaryius; Emmanuel Sanders takes the place of Decker and Welker might be more apt to see a decline.

  5. ATL Julio Jones 25-0 102-1525-11
  6. Julio Jones was on pace to put up a Calvin/Gordon-like season last year before a broken foot ended his chance. With Tony Gonzalez retired, more pressure will be put on Jones and White to produce and I think Jones comes through with flying colors.

  7. CIN A.J. Green 0-0 100-1430-11
  8. Green is about as steady a performer as you will find. His numbers over each of the last 2 seasons are nearly identical, so it’s safe to assume he will repeat it again.

  9. DAL Dez Bryant 0-0 95-1285-13
  10. Dez didn’t quite live up to the expectations I had for him last year, but he was still a beast. He remains Romo’s premier red zone target and the growth I expect Terrance Williams to make this year should only further help Bryant. He should outperform last year’s numbers slightly.

  11. CHI Brandon Marshall 0-0 104-1350-11
  12. In a PPR league, I’ll take Marshall ahead of Bryant and after Green. Marshall is another one of those automatic lock receivers. That’s what I love about the receiver position, unlike running back where you can totally bomb your first and second round picks, you know exactly what you’re getting with the receiver, barring any injuries.

  13. PIT Antonio Brown 20-0 110-1500-9
  14. Brown is a PPR beast and a threat to be a top 3 wideout. If he can find the end zone a little more this year, he could be ahead of some of the other names in this tier.

  15. CHI Alshon Jeffery 75-0 93-1490-8
  16. What a way to burst on the scene last year. Alshon was someone I had my eye on as a potential breakout candidate, but I never expected anything like what he delivered last year. The Bears offense is a remarkable system and the 3 headed monster of Marshall, Jeffery, and Forte is one that cannot be stopped from a fantasy perspective.

  17. GB Jordy Nelson 0-0 90-1375-10
  18. The question going into last year with Nelson was can he last a full season after having some injury issues in the past. He answered the bell and was out there for all 16 games last year. The risk is still there, but as long as he’s playing, he’s a WR1.

    Tier 3 – need one of these if without a WR from top 2 tiers

  19. WAS Pierre Garcon 0-0 110-1375-6
  20. Garcon had 5 or more receptions in every game last year and 6 or more in all but 2. You can’t get more consistent than that. Add DeSean Jackson to the mix and Washington has the chance to be an excellent offense. I expect a rebound for RG3 and another strong year for Garcon.

  21. SD Keenan Allen 0-0 84-1250-9
  22. Keenan Allen, just like Alshon, burst onto the scene last year to put up big numbers. He didn’t have quite as big a year as Jeffery, but Allen really didn’t start earning his playing time until week 4. If you scrap the first 3 weeks of the year, Allen put up a 68-1016-8 line in 13 games. Prorate that out and you get an 84-1250-10 line. I think he hits that and possibly takes another slight step forward to surpass it. There’s upside for Allen to be a tier 2 level receiver.

  23. GB Randall Cobb 150-0 85-1100-9
  24. Cobb’s injury made him a disappointment last year, but in the 6 games he played he was right where you wanted him to be. If he can put together a full season, he’ll be right up there in the WR1 or top flight WR2 category.

  25. HOU Andre Johnson 0-0 104-1375-5
  26. Andre Johnson is now saying he wants out of Houston. I still think he ends up back in Houston, but you’ll have to keep your eye on this because where he goes could dramatically affect his value.

  27. TB Vincent Jackson 0-0 75-1250-8
  28. VJax will by far haul in the least amount of receptions out of everyone else above him in this list and even less than many below him, but he’s always one play away from making your week with a 40 yard TD grab. Jackson had a horrible QB situation last year and still managed a strong 78-1224-7 season. The receptions were a career high and the yards ranked second in his career. In Tampa Bay, where he isn’t fighting to be the go to guy, he’s a lock for over 70 grabs and over 1200 yards with 7-9 touchdowns.

    Tier 4 – question marks start creeping up

  29. MIN Cordarrelle Patterson 300-2 75-775-8
  30. Patterson might not blow you away with his total receiving numbers, but he came on so strong late last year and put up a lot of points with his carries. Think Percy Harvin but without the injury risk and a better nose for the end zone. Over the final 5 weeks last year when his usage went up, he had 6 touchdowns (3 rushing 3 receiving), 219 receiving yards, and 156 rushing yards. The numbers don’t jump off the page immediately because the receiving numbers alone aren’t that impressive, but when you see how much damage he did in the rushing game it shows a knack for being able to put up points no matter how he’s touching the ball. If I told you a receiver had 375 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns in a 5 week span you’d be jumping all over that (75 yards and 1.2 TD a game). I think his usage in the passing game goes up this year and he continues to produce on the ground as well.

  31. NYG Victor Cruz 0-0 84-1135-8
  32. My advice on Cruz, draft him to be your WR2 then when he’s a top 5 WR 4-6 weeks into the year trade him before he falls off the cliff. He has done this each of the last 2 seasons, so why not make it 3 in a row. He’ll still end the year as a top 15-20 WR, but will perform more like a WR3 in the 2nd half if history tells us anything.

  33. ARI Michael Floyd 0-0 75-1125-7
  34. Floyd didn’t have a bad year last year, but I think the people jumping on board with him being a top 20 WR were a year to early. I expect him to make another step forward this year and live up to the billing many were giving him last year.

  35. ARI Larry Fitzgerald 0-0 85-1000-8
  36. Larry Fitz improved on his dismal 2012 campaign last year, but not enough to make me thrilled enough to be banking on him in 2014. I think you’ll start seeing him line up in the slot more while Floyd plays more on the outside. He still has the ability to go over 1000 yards and score double digit touchdowns if you’re willing to take a chance that 900 yards and 4 TDs is also a possibility.

  37. PHI Jeremy Maclin 0-0 72-980-9
  38. Can he stay healthy? That’s the million dollar question. With DeSean Jackson out of town, Maclin becomes a prime candidate to have a breakout season. If I could grab him as a WR3 with the upside to put up WR2 or possibly even WR1 type numbers then I would, but the injury risk is too great for me to take him expecting him to be my WR2.

  39. NO Marques Colston 0-0 80-1050-7
  40. Graham is the mouth to feed in New Orleans, but there’s also plenty of passing offense to go around. You can pencil Drew Brees into 5000+ yards and 40+ touchdowns, so Colston can still have a strong season. He was a bit of a disappointment last year, but came on strong down the stretch as teams continued to focus more on taking Graham out of the game. If Colston can return to his 1100+ yards 8+ TD form then you might find yourself a bit of a steal, but my feeling is that there are too many mouths to feed to expect Colston to do much more than what I project.

  41. IND T.Y. Hilton 25-0 74-1100-6
  42. If you look up T.Y. Hilton in the dictionary, it just says boom or bust. Think about this statistic for a moment, Hilton had 5 100 yard games last year (and actually each one of them was over 120 yards) which means he put up over 600 of his 1083 yards, 670 to be exact, in 5 games; think about what that means the other 11 games looked like. I hate banking on players that go 5 for 140 and 2 TD one week and 2 for 24 over the next 3 weeks. I’m also worried that there are even more mouths to feed in Indy this year (Reggie Wayne back from injury, Hakeem Nicks signed from the Giants, Coby Fleener a year wiser). The only chance you have of not getting the exact same up and down painfulness that you got last season is if Andrew Luck can take a step forward without coaching insisting on pounding the rock 30+ times a game, but I wouldn’t bet on it.

  43. NYJ Eric Decker 0-0 75-1000-8
  44. Decker goes from the most prolific passing offense ever seen to the Jets who ranked 30th in the league in passing last year, but really were last from a fantasy perspective when you look at the TDs and INTs. If that’s not from one end of the spectrum to the other, then I don’t know what is. He’s now going to be the primary focus of the defensive backs instead of Demaryius Thomas. Decker will see success in volume, but I don’t see how he goes for double digit touchdowns or goes for more than 1000 yards in that offense.

  45. SEA Percy Harvin 125-1 82-900-6
  46. Harvin has the same questions around him as Maclin, but with less upside in my opinion. I’ll take the guy in the Chip Kelly offense over the guy in the Pete Carroll offense any day of the week. Harvin can do damage in the passing and rushing attack, but Seattle is a defense and run first team combined with some big play ability courtesy of Russel Wilson. If he can stay healthy, he could be up at the top of this tier, but the risk is high.

  47. MIA Mike Wallace 25-0 75-1025-7
  48. Mike Wallace was a few Ryan Tannehill overthrows away from having a really big 2013 season. Unfortunately, if ifs and buts were candy and nuts we’d all have a merry Christmas. In the fantasy world, we need to see results, but that doesn’t mean we still shouldn’t look at these “ifs”. If Tannehill makes another step forward, Wallace could certainly make a big leap forward. If he hauls in 2 more of Tannehill’s deep balls this year you can tack on another ~120 yards and 2 TDs. I think we started to see some of the chemistry and improvement down the stretch last year when Wallace put up 4 of his 5 TDs in the last 6 weeks of the season.

  49. TEN Kendall Wright 0-0 98-1050-4
  50. Kendall Wright is a PPR stud who should rank even higher up in this tier in full PPR leagues. Wright doesn’t have a nose for the end zone, but he has the ability to grab 100+ balls.

  51. WAS DeSean Jackson 0-0 68-1080-6
  52. I don’t think DeSean can see the same success he saw last year simply because he won’t be the clear cut #1 option in Washington. That being said, the Redskins offense could take a major step forward this year with Garcon, Jackson, and Reed creating matchup nightmares, so Jackson is still a viable WR2; he won’t slide under the radar this year though.

  53. ATL Roddy White 0-0 85-1025-6
  54. Is Roddy done or was last year just a major aberration? Your guess is as good as mine; I’m leaning towards aberration, but with the caveat that he’s 32 and will be 33 midway through the season. Roddy came on real strong over the final 5 weeks last year, so it’s possible that injuries just kept hampering him throughout the year. I expect a rebound, but I’m not bullish enough to project him back up to his 2007-2012 type numbers.

    Tier 5 – WR3s galore

  55. DEN Emmanuel Sanders 0-0 74-925-8
  56. Sanders is a guy that I certainly wouldn’t mind having as my WR3. He was able to find the end zone with some success last year and is now in the best offense in the league. Add to that the fact that Wes Welker’s health is a bit of a question mark combined with the decline Welker had in the 2nd half of the season last year, you have yourself the potential upside of Sanders reaching numbers similar to Decker’s last year. I certainly wouldn’t expect the same production as Decker because it’s incredibly unlikely that Peyton will throw 55 TDs again, but still there’s some major upside here.

  57. BAL Torrey Smith 0-0 60-1040-7
  58. Smith was unable to prove himself last year of being a capable well-rounded #1 receiver, but he was able to make some improvements going over the middle and running some shorter routes. With Pitta back and hopefully healthy for the whole year and Steve Smith added to the roster, Torrey Smith can go back to being the big play threat that we were all used to and hopefully use some of his added route running skills to bring his TD total back up to what we’re used to, although I expect his yardage total to shrink a little.

  59. BUF Robert Woods 0-0 70-1015-6
  60. Sammy Watkins is the big name in town after being picked 4th overall in the NFL draft this year, but I expect 2nd year wideout Robert Woods to have the bigger impact this year. Woods will be playing the Stevie Johnson role so I expect a 1000 yard 6+ TD season from him.

  61. JAC Cecil Shorts 0-0 84-1005-5
  62. With Blackmon coming back from suspension only to be suspended again after 4 games, Shorts was never able to get going. He battled injuries and double teams which took away his big play making ability that we saw in 2012. I don’t expect to see much improvement this year, but in PPR leagues he can be an adequate WR3.

  63. DEN Wes Welker 0-0 85-935-6
  64. Welker seems to be trending downwards; perhaps all the hits have started to take their toll on the slot receiver. Welker had a strong start to his 2013 season finding the end zone frequently, but injuries and a lackluster second half have his stock dropping in 2014. The risks outweigh the upside for me, but it’s still nice to be part of that Denver offense.

  65. HOU DeAndre Hopkins 0-0 70-1050-5
  66. I don’t love the QB situation, but it can’t be worse than the Matt Schaub Case Keenum experiment of 2013. Ryan Fitzpatrick should provide some stability for the Texans at QB. Hopkins is another 2nd year wideout with breakout potential, but I don’t see him being able to burst onto the scene a la Josh Gordon or Alshon Jeffery. 1000 yards and a few TDs seems likely.

  67. IND Reggie Wayne 0-0 80-1050-4
  68. I’ve already covered this in my T.Y. Hilton notes, but I’m wary of all the mouths to feed in Indy. Reggie Wayne continues to appear ageless as he was on pace for an 87-1150-5 season which was almost exactly the 90-1100-5 that I projected him for. To expect him to repeat his 1355 yard season from 2012 was expecting a lot, but if he stays healthy, he’s still the most consistent option in Indy.

  69. NE Julian Edelman 10-0 90-925-5
  70. Edelman became Tom Brady’s security blanket last year and by far surpassed any expectation you could’ve had for him going into the year. A healthy Gronk, healthy Amendola, and year wiser Dobson means there’s almost no way Edelman can reproduce his 2013 totals, but I think he’s still Brady’s #2 option behind Gronk and it’s not as if there’s any reason to expect Gronk and Amendola to stay healthy all year.

  71. SF Michael Crabtree 0-0 73-960-6
  72. Crabtree finds himself going from a once depleted receiving corps that allowed him to be the obvious #1 receiving option to a muddled group of high caliber receivers. I still think Crabtree comes out on top of the pecking order, but Anquan Boldin, Stevie Johnson, and Vernon Davis will still get theirs. I don’t think Kaepernick is a good enough passer to make all 4 of these guys good enough to have a lot of faith in on a weekly basis.

  73. PHI Riley Cooper 0-0 58-900-8
  74. Cooper had 2 monster games last year and another big game, but was pretty pedestrian for the other 13. He’ll probably see more attention from opposing defenses this year, but he’ll also be more focal to the offense throughout the whole season. I think these pros and cons wash each other out and he puts up a similar stat line to last year.

  75. STL Tavon Austin 185-1 64-725-6
  76. Tavon Austin was one of the major disappointments of 2013; he just didn’t adjust to the NFL game as quickly as many thought he might nor did the coaching staff scheme him very well. I think the switch starts to flip this year but there will still be some pain along the way. If you can grab Austin as your 4th WR then I think you have some breakout potential that you’re not banking on playing a vital role on your team, but I wouldn’t draft him to be a weekly starter unless I was in a deep league.

    Tier 6 – these guys aren’t that much worse than tier 5, but they have more question marks

  77. OAK James Jones 0-0 65-900-6
  78. Can James Jones perform as the #1 option? He never had to be that in Green Bay, so I’m not convinced he has enough talent to perform like a typical #1. Additionally, the Oakland WR situation is pretty muddled with Rod Streater and Denarius Moore still in the lineup. Matt Schaub and rookie Derek Carr do have some weapons to work with when you add MJD, DMC, and Marcel Reece into the mix, so it is possible the Oakland offense finally sees its first resurgence in a long time.

  79. SF Anquan Boldin 0-0 72-985-4
  80. There are a lot of mouths to feed now in San Fran, similar to Indianapolis, and I don’t love the QB situation here. Kaepernick will have to take a major step forward for any of their receivers to have much upside. Boldin had 2 huge games to open and close last year and was pretty steady in between, but with Crabtree back and Stevie Johnson in the mix can only mean a reduction in targets.

  81. NO Kenny Stills 0-0 48-900-7
  82. I think Stills has breakout potential as a Mike Wallace type of deep threat receiver. With Darren Sproles and Lance Moore gone, Stills and rookie Brandin Cooks will receive the biggest benefit of those missing targets. Cooks will fill the slot/Sproles role and Stills will fill the role that Robert Meachem and Devery Henderson used to fill. Stills put up 641 yards on just 50 targets. If he just gets 25 more targets you could see him easily hitting 900 yards, so just imagine if he gets 80-85 targets with Drew Brees delivering spot on deep balls.

  83. BUF Sammy Watkins 0-0 65-900-5
  84. Watkins will definitely be targeted heavily in Buffalo. Rookie wide receivers usually have a hard time adjusting to the pro game immediately. In recent memory, Keenan Allen and A.J. Green both have been exceptions to the rule, but there aren’t many. In dynasty leagues, he obviously has to go much earlier, but in redraft leagues he’ll probably go earlier than he should due to the fact that he was taken 4th overall in the draft this year.

  85. MIA Brian Hartline 0-0 75-1000-3
  86. There’s really no upside to Hartline. He has been pretty consistent each of the last 2 years and isn’t anything more than a WR4.

  87. KC Dwayne Bowe 0-0 62-850-6
  88. Bowe was literally unstartable from start to finish last year and then had a huge game against the Colts in the playoffs. I can’t fathom how Bowe could be as bad as he was last year, but I think Charles is the lone focal point of that offense on the rushing and receiving side of the ball so a return to a 1000+ yard season is unlikely.

  89. MIN Greg Jennings 0-0 72-850-5
  90. Jennings was alright last season, but was never all that productive as I predicted. Minnesota is still a run first team with AP as the focus off the offense. Jennings is the #1 option in the passing game, but I think Cordarrelle Patterson is the top option overall when you add in his touches in the ground game. Jennings is 30 years old (turns 31 in September) and I don’t see much upside for improvement.

  91. DAL Terrance Williams 10-0 52-870-6
  92. More second year receiver upside here, except that there’s no chance that Williams isn’t second fiddle to Dez Bryant in the Dallas offense. Sometimes being second fiddle can work (see Alshon Jeffery), but the Dallas offense isn’t potent enough to support 2 top 10 receivers. Williams does have the upside of possibly breaking 1000 yards with 8 TDs, but expecting more would be expecting a lot.

  93. NE Aaron Dobson 0-0 58-810-6
  94. Dobson is another second year receiver to keep your eye on. Health of the other receivers on the team will likely determine how effective Dobson will be. There are too many mouths to feed on the pecking order ahead of Dobson for him to have the upside to break out without Gronk and Amendola missing time, however it’s likely they’ll both miss some time.

  95. DET Golden Tate 20-0 60-820-5
  96. Tate has an opportunity to flourish opposite Calvin Johnson. We saw that Nate Burleson could be solid when healthy because Johnson is receiving all the double (and sometimes triple) coverage. Burleson averaged 105 targets per 16 games in his 4 years in Detroit and Tate is more talented than Burleson, so it’s possible Tate could go over 1000 yards with 7 or 8 TDs. I’m not projecting it because we never saw Burleson come close to that, but the upside is there.

  97. OAK Rod Streater 15-0 60-900-4
  98. Streater is capable of racking up some yards but not all that capable of finding the end zone. A near repeat of his 2013 numbers is safe to expect.

  99. BAL Steve Smith 0-0 65-820-5
  100. From one craptastic passing offense to another. Torrey Smith is the deep threat option in Baltimore so I wouldn’t expect to see Smith racking up 16+ y/c like he has in past years, but expect more slot receiver type numbers that he put up last year. He’s 35 and just doesn’t have the ability to break out like you’re used to seeing from Smith.

  101. SD Danny Woodhead 360-2 58-420-4
  102. Woodhead should see some of his 2013 production withered away to Donald Brown. I don’t think he’ll be more than a fringe flex option in PPR leagues.

  103. GB Jarrett Boykin 0-0 60-825-5
  104. Boykin is the clear #3 option in Green Bay. We saw Boykin see success last year when he put into the #2 role when Randall Cobb and James Jones were hurt by putting up 13 receptions for 192 yards in 2 games. If Cobb or Nelson miss some time, Boykin will instantly become a solid WR3 or maybe better.

    Tier 7 – young guys with upside

  105. PIT Markus Wheaton 0-0 55-720-5
  106. Wheaton was a disappointment last year, but it is common for rookie wide receivers to fail to live up to expectations. Wheaton looks like he’ll be the #2 receiver in Pittsburgh which could prove to be a very fantasy friendly job.

  107. NYG Rueben Randle 0-0 40-600-6
  108. Randle is entering his 3rd year so likely he breaks out this year and becomes the Giants clear cut #2 option or he doesn’t become much more than what you saw last year and Odell Beckham Jr. takes over that #2 job. Beckham has more upside for the future, but I think Randle has more upside for 2014.

  109. CAR Kelvin Benjamin 0-0 48-625-7
  110. Benjamin was taken 28th overall in this year’s draft and is a freak size wise (6’5″ 240+lbs with an 83 inch wingspan) and will certainly be Carolina’s top red zone threat. I don’t necessarily expect Benjamin to catch a ton of balls because Carolina just doesn’t move the ball all that well through the air, but I do expect him to be a touch down force. He could definitely haul in more TDs than I’m projecting.

  111. TEN Justin Hunter 0-0 40-650-6
  112. Justin Hunter showed flashes of excellence last year and is poised for a breakout year. He could be a diamond in the rough or he could completely frustrate you. I think you’re apt to see something like T.Y. Hilton where he’ll have a few big games and then disappoint in the rest of them, but he’s worth stashing on your bench and seeing what happens.

  113. BAL Marlon Brown 0-0 55-655-8
  114. If the Ravens didn’t add Steve Smith, I’d be much higher on Marlon brown this year. The upside for Brown is that he was able to find the end zone fairly regularly last year so might be the Ravens top red zone target, but his overall targets will be limited with addition of Smith and with Pitta being healthy.

  115. JAC Marqise Lee 50-0 52-700-3
  116. Marqise decided he was too cool to have a u after the q just to make typing his name a pain in the butt. He also was a steal for the Jaguars who desperately needed some offensive help, so there’s no doubt they were ecstatic he was on the board in the second round at #39 overall. He’ll likely be the Jags’ #2 receiving option and with the health of Cecil Shorts always a question mark, he could see himself seeing #1 receiver targets at points in the year.

  117. TB Mike Evans 0-0 45-650-5
  118. Evans was taken 7th overall in this year’s draft and will slot in as the #2 option behind Vincent Jackson in Tampa Bay. Evans has the ability to use his size and wingspan to haul in quite a few TDs, but the Tampa offense is lackluster at best and Vincent Jackson will still be the clear go to guy.

  119. PHI Jordan Matthews 0-0 52-650-4
  120. Matthews will likely be the Eagles starting slot receiver and could see his fair share of targets. How much will Darren Sproles’ presence affect Matthews’ number of targets is the biggest question here, but Matthews has the upside of being targeted a lot in the fast paced Philadelphia offense.

  121. NYG Odell Beckham Jr. 50-0 40-650-4
  122. Beckham seemed like a little bit of a reach at #12 overall in this year’s draft, but you don’t draft a guy that early and expect not to use him. Beckham will probably get a lot of time in the slot position but may move around to the outside opposite Cruz as well. As I said in my Rueben Randle synopsis, I expect Randle to have the better year in 2014, but Beckham has a lot of upside down the road.

  123. CIN Marvin Jones 40-0 42-600-5
  124. Marvin Jones was a pretty consistent TD threat last year, but he also totaled a freakish 4 TDs in 1 game. I don’t see him taking any real step forward, if anything Dalton will have a hard time repeating his stellar fantasy season from last year which could mean a reduction for Jones. Update: Jones has a broken foot and likely will miss about 4 games. I’ve adjusted his projection and rank accordingly.

  125. JAC Allen Robinson 0-0 45-630-3
  126. Robinson was the Jags second pick in the second round and they added another wide receiver to the roster. Robinson should find himself as the 3rd option in Jacksonville ahead of Ace Sanders. I’d bet on Marqise Lee outperforming Robinson, but you should still keep your eye on him.

    Tier 8 – filling out your bench

  127. SF Steve Johnson 0-0 55-725-7
  128. An injury to Crabtree or Boldin is the only way I see Stevie Johnson returning to fantasy relevance. He might be the best red zone option in San Francisco, but not by a wide margin either. You also have second year player Quinton Patton and rookie Bruce Ellington looking to factor into the mix as well.

  129. SD Malcom Floyd 0-0 55-800-5
  130. Floyd was off to the races last year before going down with a season ending injury. Keenan Allen then took over the reigns and never let go. Floyd will be the #2 option in SD this year, so there’s really no upside.

  131. CLE Miles Austin 0-0 60-815-4
  132. Austin has a chance to produce as the #1 option in Cleveland if he can stay healthy, but that’s a big if. There’s also no real upside to the Cleveland passing offense without Josh Gordon.

  133. SEA Doug Baldwin 0-0 50-780-5
  134. Baldwin is the clear #2 option in Seattle and pretty much a lock to repeat his 2013 season.

  135. CLE Nate Burleson 15-0 68-775-3
  136. The looming suspension of Josh Gordon gives Nate Burleson some value. Miles Austin is also going to factor into the mix, but without Josh Gordon, there’s nothing to be excited about in the Browns passing game.

  137. IND Hakeem Nicks 0-0 52-800-4
  138. I’ve already said it before, there are too many mouths to feed in Indianapolis. Hakeem Nicks will need an injury to occur for him to have some real fantasy value. Unfortunately, he’s probably the biggest injury risk of the receivers on the team.

  139. NE Danny Amendola 0-0 65-745-3
  140. Amendola just can’t stay healthy. If he could, then you could foresee a 100 reception season like Edelman had last year, but I just don’t think it’s in the cards. My guess is Dobson takes another step forward and Amendola takes another step back.

  141. TEN Nate Washington 0-0 52-790-3
  142. Nate Washington refuses to go gentle into that good night. I think he takes a little bit of a step back towards 2012 numbers as Justin Hunter takes a little step forward.

  143. ATL Harry Douglas 0-0 60-735-3
  144. We saw what Harry Douglas can do when given the opportunity. He’ll need another one of the top 2 options in Atlanta to get hurt to be viable on a weekly basis.

  145. PIT Lance Moore 0-0 45-600-6
  146. Lance Moore was an utter disaster last year. If Markus Wheaton can secure the #2 job in Pittsburgh then Moore probably won’t be all that relevant, but Jerricho Cotchery was still able to find the end zone last year as the #3 option. Moore could be a pleasant surprise if Wheaton struggles.

  147. SD Eddie Royal 20-0 50-650-4
  148. There’s no way Eddie Royal finds the end zone this year the way he did last year; 5 of his 8 touchdowns last year came in the first 2 games. You should expect what you saw over the final 14 and not what you saw in the first 2; in fact you should have expected that last year even after the first 2 games.

  149. BUF Mike Williams 0-0 48-600-5
  150. Buffalo has actually improved their receiving corps despite the departing of Stevie Johnson. Mike Williams will be the #3 option in Buffalo, but probably doesn’t have much upside unless Woods or Watkins get hurt.

  151. NYJ Jeremy Kerley 0-0 50-700-3
  152. Kerley has to see a decline in targets now that Decker is in town. I think Kerley is the second option in New York, but I don’t trust the Jets offense enough to have any faith in their second option.

  153. MIA Brandon Gibson 0-0 50-600-4
  154. Gibson was pretty good when healthy last year. Unfortunately, he’ll need an injury to Wallace or Hartline to be viable. Also, second round pick Jarvis Landry is expected to factor into the mix this year.

  155. CAR Jason Avant 0-0 55-680-2
  156. Avant is a steady receiver to have on an NFL team, but not very useful on a fantasy team. I don’t see any upside here.

  157. SEA Sidney Rice 0-0 32-525-6
  158. Rice just can’t recapture the magic he had in his 2009 season. We’re far removed from 2009 which means we’re far removed from any upside.

  159. CAR Jerricho Cotchery 0-0 42-550-4
  160. Cotchery was a red zone beast last year, but he no longer has Big Ben delivering the football to him. I don’t see much upside here either.

    Honorable Mentions

  161. NO Brandin Cooks 0-0 40-450-3
  162. Cooks will likely line up in the slot in New Orleans. He certainly has the QB and the system to produce, but there are a lot of other options in the Saints offense.

  163. MIA Jarvis Landry 0-0 22-275-1
  164. Landry has the chance of slotting in as the 3rd option in Miami. If Tannehill has a strong year, there’s definite upside here.

  165. GB Davante Adams 0-0 30-450-3
  166. The Packers second round pick should see some playing time, but also has some consistent options above him (Nelson, Cobb, Boykin) that would likely require an injury for him to become relevant.